money right? wouldn't that be good for stocks and crypto in the longterm?
Yes you’re correct. But unfortunately we saw low interest rates in the U.S. from 2009->2019. Look at BTC, & equity markets in that timeline. Absolute boom. We’re in a different game now. Tough to predict the short term effects of $$ printing again.
Lower rates in isolation is good for risk assets but you need to separate out the scenarios. A couple of conservative rate cuts because inflation has been tamed = stable / bullish. Sudden aggressive rate slashing as a response to a contracting global economy = bearish.
The real printing will come as a response to a bust, but we can have rate cuts prior to that scenario where we are in a "goldilocks" zone and markets themselves are bullish while the economy is deteriorating, they don't go in lockstep together and there is leads/lags with the data/responses. This is why basically noone saw SPX constantly printing new ATH's this year (it hasn't finished)
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