No one knows in advance
The purpose of inflation in Moonbeam is to pay for ongoing security needs of the network. The primary security budget items are to pay for a parachain slot on an ongoing basis, and to incentivize collators to provide collation (block production) services to support the Moonbeam network. Of the 5% inflation, 1% will go towards incentivizing collators and 1.5% will go to the parachain bond reserve to accumulate on chain funds to pay for a parachain slot in perpetuity. The remaining 2.5% will go to users that stake their GLMR tokens and help power the collator selection process.
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