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If one month you can predict a rocket launch failure,

mid stream, in advance. And the next month you predict a news event about someone being strangled from behind, in advance. And you're not making 2000 different predictions.... how do you explain that?

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He’s a BS artist. People are strangled from behind literally every week around the world. One would just have to search the news globally.

- There were 223 launches in 2023 (80% spacex). a world record. - Space is hard. ∴ Crash is easy prediction. The record shows a failure per month on average. IOW predicting a crash next month is predicting something that’s likely. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_in_spaceflight

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