mining pools don't look just at next block for figuring out what is more profitable.
they are very unlikely to even FIND the next block.
i think they project ahead N blocks in some weird calculation.. to figure out what their most likely profitability will be at any given moment.
we have a very unstable fee market now on BTC because of the halving it's completely unpredictable.
like some blocks had ~15 BTC total rewards some had 7 BTC total.
it's all over the place.
i think just some miners are using certain maths that show BCH is a better bet to mine than BTC.
and perhaps individual mining shops also may have various agreements with big pools like ViaBTC that calculate profit in certain ways? idk.
This is some insightful hypothesis. Do you have data or math to support this? In your hypothesis, how do the miners figure out that it is better to switch to BCH despite lower profitability?
i do math intuitively.. well data is.. look at mempool.spaces look how each block the fees are all over the place like some 10 blocks ago was 15 BTC, now last block was like 6 BTC. it's everywhere. jumping around. look at johoe's site. i am just trying to explain it intuitively. no actual numbers.
no no i don't think they are colluding after all
They don't need to be colluding. Some discoveries can happen in multiple times at once, simultaneously.
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